30 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1544
FormLWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Stapor
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1476
FormWWLLW
57%
43%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 66% (32)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)