30 Jul · 08:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1469
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1555
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)