30 Jul · 10:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Minda
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1415
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 75% (12)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H59-50
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-50)