30 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1469
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1469
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.