30 Jul · 11:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1463
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1377
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)