30 Jul · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1382
FormWLWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1603
FormLWLWW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+221
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+221)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)