30 Jul · 12:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1700
FormLWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Braun
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1757
FormWLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Braun
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H20-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)