30 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1432
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Klocek
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1465
FormWLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.