30 Jul · 13:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1665
FormLLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Poliniewicz
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1537
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H79-100
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)