30 Jul · 14:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KP
🇵🇱Kacper Petas
ELO 1830
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Petas
JB
🇵🇱Josef Braun
ELO 1762
FormWWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Petas
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H21-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-17)