30 Jul · 13:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1527
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1620
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
🌟Oracz stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H15-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-14)