30 Jul · 15:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1341
FormLLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1436
FormLLWLW
40%
60%
🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 69% (26)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)