31 Jul · 00:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1752
FormWWWWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Rutkowski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1629
FormLWWWW
63%
37%
🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (130)
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H81-70
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (81-70)