30 Jul · 20:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1752
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rutkowski
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1732
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H10-71
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.