30 Jul · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1750
FormWLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Strowski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1629
FormLWWWW
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kapik🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 70% (89)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H50-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-25)