30 Jul · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1732
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolodziej
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1689
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Jendrzejewski covers set handicap as underdog 64% (75)
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H45-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-16)