30 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Strowski
ELO 1750
FormWLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Strowski
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1602
FormLLWWL
66%
34%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chmielowski🌟Strowski goes over total as favourite 70% (89)
Fair odds · Strowski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+148
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+148)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)