30 Jul · 18:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krystian Kolodziej
ELO 1732
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kolodziej
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1602
FormLLWWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Kolodziej
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H39-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-10)