31 Jul · 02:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kapik
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1629
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Glanowski goes over total as underdog 67% (51)
Fair odds · Kapik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H15-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-1)