30 Jul · 18:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1545
FormLWWLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zelezik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1400
FormLWWLW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+145
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+145)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)