30 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1465
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gesiarz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1510
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 79% (14)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)