30 Jul · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1560
FormWWLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+70
H2H43-46
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)