30 Jul · 22:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1639
FormLWWWW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Guzik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1400
FormLWWLW
74%
26%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)