30 Jul · 21:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1488
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Michalik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1400
FormLWWLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)