30 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1465
FormWLLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zelezik
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1545
FormLWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+80
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)