30 Jul · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1465
FormWLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Guzik
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1639
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)