31 Jul · 05:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇵🇱Szymon Kolasa
ELO 1809
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Grela
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1861
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Kolasa covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Grela
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)