31 Jul · 04:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1559
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Zelezik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1485
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H14-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-1)