31 Jul · 04:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1628
FormLLWWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Guzik
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1406
FormLWLWW
73%
27%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 82% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H6-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-0)