31 Jul · 01:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1590
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Chmielowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1463
FormLLLLL
64%
36%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Chmielowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 18% (34)
Fair odds · Chmielowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)