30 Jul · 20:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1534
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1465
FormWLLWW
58%
42%
🌟Baron covers set handicap as underdog 64% (36)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)