30 Jul · 19:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1561
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pytlas
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H22-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.