30 Jul · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1255
FormLWLLL
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1609
FormWWLWW
17%
83%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 71% (34)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~73 pts
0-3
41%
1-3
29%
2-3
13%
3-2
8%
3-1
6%
Elo Gap+354
H2H17-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+354)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-5)