30 Jul · 19:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1380
FormLWLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1625
FormWLWWW
25%
75%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+245
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)