30 Jul · 18:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1510
FormWWWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1313
FormLLLWW
71%
29%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+197
H2H16-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+197)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-1)