30 Jul · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1406
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1528
FormLLWLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)