30 Jul · 18:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1481
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pelka
PP
🇵🇱Piotr Przewlocki
ELO 1467
FormLLLWL
52%
48%
🌟Przewlocki goes over total as underdog 68% (50)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.