31 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇵🇱Jan Zandecki
ELO 1818
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zandecki
MJ
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1814
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Zandecki rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Zandecki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H21-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.