31 Jul · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MJ
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1814
FormLLWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadczyk
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1686
FormWLLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Jadczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+128
H2H36-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+128)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (36-18)