31 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MO
🇵🇱Martin Olejnik
ELO 1868
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Olejnik
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1861
FormWWLWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grela🌟Grela covers set handicap as underdog 72% (60)
Fair odds · Olejnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H26-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.