31 Jul · 09:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AG
🇵🇱Artur Grela
ELO 1861
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Grela
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1686
FormWLLLL
68%
32%
🌟Grela goes over total as favourite 65% (91)
Fair odds · Grela
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+175
H2H15-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+175)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-8)