31 Jul · 08:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1350
FormWLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kostepski
RK
🇵🇱Robert Kostepski
ELO 1496
FormLWWWL
34%
66%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Kostepski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)