31 Jul · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1491
FormLLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1657
FormLLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H34-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-14)