31 Jul · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1642
FormWLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Lach
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1355
FormLLWLW
78%
22%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+287
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)