31 Jul · 08:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1642
FormWLLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Lach
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1350
FormWLLLW
78%
22%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 68% (25)
Fair odds · Lach
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+292
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+292)