30 Jul · 22:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Adamus
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1415
FormLWWLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H17-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-0)