30 Jul · 23:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1800
FormWWWWW
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Molenda
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1389
FormLLLWL
86%
14%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 86% · 1.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~72 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
7%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+411
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+411)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)