30 Jul · 22:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1511
FormWLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Szlubowski
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1348
FormWWLWL
67%
33%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)