30 Jul · 23:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1316
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Mugowski
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1395
FormWLLLL
41%
59%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Mugowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+79
H2H6-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)