31 Jul · 00:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MG
🇵🇱Michal Guzik
ELO 1625
FormLWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Guzik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1500
FormLLLWL
64%
36%
🌟Guzik stays under total as favourite 70% (30)
Fair odds · Guzik
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+125
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+125)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)